Ukraine Support Tracker: Europe fails to offset US aid drop
New aid allocations in 2025 might drop to their lowest level since the outbreak of the war in 2022. Europe allocated only about EUR 4.2 billion in new military aid to Ukraine—far too little to offset the halt in US support. At the same time, the disparities within Europe widened. France, Germany, and the United Kingdom increased their allocations substantially but remained below the levels seen in the Nordic countries in relative terms. Italy and Spain contributed very little. This is shown in the latest update of the Ukraine Support Tracker, which covers aid allocations until October 2025.
After a record-high first half of 2025, military aid had already fallen sharply over the summer—a trend that has now continued into September and October. At the current rate, military aid allocations fall short of what would be needed to replace missing US support. While annual allocations averaged roughly EUR 41.6 billion in 2022–2024 (including Europe, the US, and other donors), only EUR 32.5 billion has been allocated so far in 2025. To reach previous levels, an additional EUR 9.1 billion would need to be allocated by year-end, requiring a monthly allocation rate more than twice as high as in recent months.
“Based on the data available through October, Europe has not been able to sustain the momentum of the first half of 2025,” says Professor Christoph Trebesch, head of the Ukraine Support Tracker. “The recent slowdown makes it difficult for Europe to fully offset the absence of US military aid in 2025. If this slower pace continues in the remaining months, 2025 will become the year with the lowest level of new aid allocations ever for Ukraine since the outbreak of the full-scale invasion in 2022.”
Disparities across European donors widen further
Although Europe’s overall military support is slowing down, developments varied significantly across the major economies. France, Germany, and the United Kingdom increased their military allocations sharply compared to 2022–2024: Germany nearly tripled its average monthly allocations, while France and the UK each more than doubled theirs. Even so, measured relative to their 2021 GDP, all three remained well below the leading Nordic donors Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. To reach Nordic levels, Europe’s largest economies would need to scale up their contributions substantially.
The contrast with Italy and Spain was even stronger: neither increased its military allocations in 2025. Italy reduced its already low allocation levels by 15 percent compared to 2022–2024, and Spain recorded no new military aid in 2025. This limited engagement significantly weakened Europe’s overall response.
“The higher allocations from France, Germany, and the UK are significant,” says Taro Nishikawa, project lead of the Ukraine Support Tracker. “But even these three still trail the Nordic countries in relative terms. Meanwhile, the decline of support from Spain and Italy is a notable setback, reinforcing the importance of more balanced burden-sharing across Europe.”
Publication
About the Ukraine Support Tracker
The Ukraine Support Tracker tracks and quantifies military, financial, and humanitarian assistance pledged to Ukraine since January 24, 2022. Included are 41 countries, specifically the EU member states, the other members of the G7, Australia, South Korea, Turkey, Norway, New Zealand, Switzerland, Turkey, China, Taiwan, India, and Iceland. It includes pledges made by the governments of these countries to the Ukrainian government; aid pledged by the EU Commission and the European Investment Bank is listed separately; private donations or those from international organizations such as the IMF are not included in the main database. Nor does it include aid to Ukraine's neighbors, such as Moldova, or to other countries, such as for the reception of refugees.
Data sources include official government announcements and international media reports. Aid in kind, such as medical supplies, food, or military equipment, is estimated using market prices or information from previous relief operations. In cases of doubt, the higher available value is used. The Ukraine Support Tracker is constantly being expanded, corrected and improved. Feedback and comments on our methodology paper and dataset are very welcome. You can reach us at ukrainetracker@kielinstitut.de
More information and all detailed data:
Go to Ukraine Support Tracker
